Hybrid Prediction Model for Short Term Wind Speed Forecasting

نویسندگان

  • M. C. Lavanya
  • S. Lakshmi
چکیده

Due to notable depletion of fuel, non-conventional energy aids the present grid for Power management across the country. Wind energy indeed has major contribution next to solar. Prediction of wind power is essential to integrate wind farms into the grid. Due to intermittency and variability of wind power, forecasting of wind behavior becomes intricate. Wind speed forecasting tools can resolve this issue as prediction of wind power depends on the forecasting of Wind speed. A hybrid model is proposed and developed using both Auto Regressive integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to achieve best forecast of Wind speed in a given region.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Short and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN

In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...

متن کامل

Short and Mid-Term Wind Power Plants Forecasting With ANN

In recent years, wind energy has a remarkable growth in the world, but one of the important problems of power generated from wind is its uncertainty and corresponding power. For solving this problem, some approaches have been presented. Recently, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a heuristic method has more applications for this propose. In this paper, short-term (1 hour) and mid-term (24...

متن کامل

A Hybrid Method for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting

The accuracy of short-term wind speed prediction is very important for wind power generation. In this paper, a hybrid method combining ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), adaptive neural network based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and seasonal auto-regression integrated moving average (SARIMA) is presented for short-term wind speed forecasting. The original wind speed series is decom...

متن کامل

A Hybrid Approach for Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Speed

We propose a hybrid method for forecasting the wind speed. The wind speed data is first decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) with empirical mode decomposition. Based on the partial autocorrelation factor of the individual IMFs, adaptive methods are then employed for the prediction of IMFs. Least squares-support vector machines are employed for IMFs with weak correlation factor, and a...

متن کامل

Short-Term and Very Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Using a Hybrid ICA-NN Method

Utilization ofwind power as one of renewable resources of energy has been growing quickly all over the world in the last decades. Wind power generation is significantly vacillating due to the wind speed alteration. Therefore, assessment of the output power of this type of generators is always associated with some uncertainties. A precise wind power prediction can efficiently uphold transmission...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016